US diplomatic expertise counts best for as much as their national interest would not be subject to certain level of threats that hamper international trades going on in this part of the Pacific. Of course, I believe that they would help the Philippines in case war against China is inevitable, but it doesn't mean that the Philippines as a sovereign nation would have to depend militarily on the U.S.
This recent pronouncement that it would stay neutral as to the “competing sovereignty claims to land features in the South China Sea” draws vividly the axial consideration that it would undertake in case conflict may arise. Although, this diplomatic statement may convince observers from the other part of the world, but it signals a different opportunity for China to undertake a more opportunistic venture that would concretize their whole intension.
Why is it so?
We can notice the cooperative effort of Russia, a country of surprise inclinations, with Putin at the helm of government. Undeniably, Russia has its own grip of influence over China because of its long-time Cold War influence many times over when China opted to close its doors to the world. It assisted China to stand up against all odds until Perestroika brought down the walls of the once majestic Russian communism; and it was expected that China would follow suit. But surprisingly it’s not, it waited until Hong Kong was returned by the British empire after 50 years of colonization. The experience of Hong Kong coupled with geopolitical experiments by its mainland masters, draw two differing faces of China: One engaged in a more democratic system while the other with the principles of Socialist communism, and here the hardline communist believers of the old Russia still played a silent domino until the ripe time that China would emerge as a new world power. It happened! It’s happening!
The awakened giant is now ready to take geopolitical responsibility which the U.S. signified to let through and would of course really wanted. Why is it that the U.S. is very confident on China to take hold in part, I mean, share the reign of leadership? China was never a conqueror but a conquest of smaller nation like Japan. The U.S. believe that China is a friendly dragon.
On the other perspective, the U.S. owes China, as yet financially as Chinese investments flood through, in one way or another, the underground economy that eventually crippled the financial streams that caught the U.S. financial system flatfooted! While Chinese products of lower prices attracted the general consumers with all the hypes of advertisements, the U.S. Federal system refuse to acknowledge that the absence of Chinese investments from their economy would mean a crippling bone that would soon crack. It needs to extract a new but prophetic bilateral agreement with China to make the playing field more competitive for both side viz-a-viz restoration of the U.S. economic supremacy that would consequently bring out the same stream of easing the financial crisis in some other parts of the world, like Europe or Southeast Asia.
Now, we can see the value of China as a balancing economic superpower. It’s prudent and long-term hard work and patience is now compensating the whole economy of the world. As the whole world is now struggling to recover the lost glory of prosperity because of the world financial crisis, China is now serving as the only economy of the world who’s got the capacity, or capability to wield the magic wand. It’s contributing to the vibrant economy of India, or even part of the European economy, it has a greater edge. And this is why Russia has found a more reliable ally.
Lots of indicators that would speak in itself, point out that China is getting the edge of dominating the whole financial system of the world. It has also build greater influence over decision-making machine of the United Nations with Russia as its stout backup.
Now, do you think that China is still the sleeping dragon?
I’m sorry to say that it’s no longer sleeping. It just woke up from its deep snore! And its future actions will spark a new tranche of fireworks in the air. If it be so, nations have to take sides.
As to the Philippines, I would say that it would remain included among the short listed allies of the United States. But this relations does not guarantee security of sovereignty.
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